Southern Australia Seasonal Bushfire Outlook 2016

It might be wet in a lot of areas but it is time to think about your fire planning……………….

The Bushfire and Natural Hazards CRC, on 31 August 2016, released the Southern Australia Seasonal Bushfire Outlook 2016.

The outlook shows an above normal bushfire potential across North, North West and Western Victoria. Bushfire and Natural Hazards CRC, uses the latest climate data and input from Australia’s fire services to compile the outlook. The outlook indicates East Gippsland has a mostly below normal fire potential with the fire season beginning later than normal. West and South Gippsland, parts of Victoria’s Central Highlands, including Melbourne’s water catchments could see rapidly escalating fire behaviour later in Summer due to the chance of above average rainfall, underlying dryness from rainfall deficits and potential for above average temperatures. Eastern Otway Ranges, Brisbane Ranges, Wombat Forest and drier forest types bordering Victoria’s box ironbark belt also have a long history of dryness and an above normal fire potential.

The Outlook will be used to inform decisions on planned burning and resource planning extending to interstate deployments due to most of NSW having an above average bushfire potential.

A copy of the Outlook is available here which will be reviewed toward the end of Spring with the temperature and rainfall over the next few months crucial in determining the fire threat, fuel growth and conditions this summer.

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